Panama vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
PAN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
USA
0 - 0
PAN
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
COL
2 - 3
PAN
86%
11%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
ZAF
1 - 1
PAN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
HND
1 - 0
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRI
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
HND
3 - 2
CRI
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
USA
0 - 0
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
CRI
3 - 1
CUB
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2005 |
CAN
0 - 1
CRI
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |