Panama vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 3
PAN
28%
26%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 1
PAN
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 0
NIC
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 2
PAN
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
COL
15%
26%
59%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 1
JAM
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 1
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 1
CAN
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SVN
1 - 0
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |