Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
7º
47
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panadería Pulido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 0
PAN
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 1
CDM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAN
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
CDT
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
CSU
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VSB
4 - 0
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
VSB
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VSB
3 - 1
UDG
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ARU
3 - 1
VSB
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |