Oberliga Hamburgo round 30

Paloma Hamburg vs Union Tornesch analysis

Paloma Hamburg Union Tornesch
31 ELO 21
9.8% Tilt -2.7%
7428º General ELO ranking 11723º
284º Country ELO ranking 621º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Paloma Hamburg
16.2%
Draw
13.7%
Union Tornesch

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
Paloma Hamburg
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.7%
Win probability
Union Tornesch
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paloma Hamburg
+4%
+10%
Union Tornesch

Points and table prediction

Paloma Hamburg
Their league position
Union Tornesch
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
40
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TSV Sasel
79
82
100%
Dassendorf
74
77
100%
Eimsbütteler TV
70
73
99%
Niendorfer TSV
67
70
65%
Altona 93
68
69
66%
Paloma Hamburg
63
63
100%
Süderelbe
54
57
59.5%
Wandsbeker Concordia
54
54
59.5%
HEBC Hamburg
10º
47
50
78%
Victoria Hamburg
48
48
10º
78%
TuRa Harksheide
11º
43
46
11º
90%
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
12º
41
41
12º
84.5%
Union Tornesch
13º
40
40
13º
92.5%
TSV Buchholz 08
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Rugenbergen
15º
35
35
15º
78.5%
Hamm United FC
16º
33
33
16º
68.5%
 Hamburger SV III
17º
31
31
17º
90%
Curslack-Neuengamme
19º
23
24
18º
54.5%
Tus Osdorf
18º
23
23
19º
54.5%
Expected probabilities
Paloma Hamburg
Union Tornesch
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Paloma Hamburg
Union Tornesch
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paloma Hamburg
Paloma Hamburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
0 - 3
TSV Sasel
SAS
35%
22%
43%
32 36 4 0
14 Feb. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
2 - 3
TuRa Harksheide
THA
70%
17%
14%
31 23 8 +1
12 Feb. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
3 - 1
Hamm United FC
HAM
85%
10%
5%
31 16 15 0
03 Feb. 2023
OSD
Tus Osdorf
0 - 1
Paloma Hamburg
PAL
25%
22%
53%
31 20 11 0
29 Jan. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
0 - 4
Altona 93
ALT
56%
21%
24%
33 31 2 -2

Matches

Union Tornesch
Union Tornesch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
UTO
Union Tornesch
2 - 1
Rugenbergen
RUG
39%
22%
39%
20 24 4 0
19 Feb. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
8 - 0
Union Tornesch
UTO
85%
10%
6%
21 36 15 -1
12 Feb. 2023
UTO
Union Tornesch
2 - 2
Victoria Hamburg
VHG
26%
21%
54%
20 27 7 +1
29 Jan. 2023
UTO
Union Tornesch
1 - 4
Wandsbeker Concordia
WAN
34%
22%
44%
21 26 5 -1
11 Dec. 2022
UTO
Union Tornesch
2 - 2
Eimsbütteler TV
EIM
12%
16%
72%
20 41 21 +1