Paloma Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
15º
8º
48
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
PAL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 4
HEB
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VHG
0 - 3
PAL
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAL
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | -4 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
DNB
84%
10%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
RUG
74%
14%
11%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
SUD
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 1
HEB
51%
20%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
VHG
6 - 5
SUD
39%
21%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |