Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
El Palo FC vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 0
PAL
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
CDR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
RIV
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ICF
3 - 0
ROB
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
ICF
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ICF
1 - 1
CFB
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
ICF
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ICF
2 - 2
SDB
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |