Palmese vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
POM
1 - 1
PAL
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
DTO
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 0
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
SIC
27%
25%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RAA
2 - 2
PAL
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
4 - 0
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 3
GRA
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |