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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 18

Palmese vs Acireale analysis

Palmese Acireale
18 ELO 24
-26% Tilt 27%
22479º General ELO ranking 5899º
646º Country ELO ranking 160º
ELO win probability
29.6%
Palmese
27.5%
Draw
42.9%
Acireale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
Palmese
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.9%
Win probability
Acireale
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palmese
-40%
+54%
Acireale

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palermo FC
63
76
83%
FC Savoia 1908
56
68
45%
SSC Giugliano
47
59
19%
Città di Messina
46
60
16%
Troina
46
57
17%
Acireale
43
57
18%
Licata
41
54
18%
Messina
36
46
15%
Nola 1925
36
45
10º
15%
Biancavilla
10º
35
44
12º
14%
Cittanovese
11º
33
46
13%
Castrovillari
12º
32
44
11º
12%
Marina di Ragusa
13º
28
38
13º
17%
Roccella
14º
25
31
16º
18%
ASD Corigliano
15º
25
33
15º
19%
Marsala
16º
24
35
14º
17%
San Tommaso
17º
21
31
17º
27%
Palmese
18º
12
20
18º
92%
Expected probabilities
Palmese
Acireale
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 53%
Mid-table
0% 47%
Relegation playoffs
3% 0%
Relegation
97% 0%

ELO progression

Acireale
ACI
Palmese
PAL
Città di Messina
CIT
Messina
MES
Castrovillari
USC
ASD Corigliano
ACC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palmese
Palmese
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2019
PAL
Palmese
1 - 4
Cittanovese
CCI
46%
27%
27%
247 265 -18 -3
15 Dec. 2019
MES
Messina
2 - 0
Palmese
PAL
49%
26%
25%
249 366 117 -2
08 Dec. 2019
SSC
SSC Giugliano
1 - 1
Palmese
PAL
47%
27%
26%
249 288 39 0
01 Dec. 2019
PAL
Palmese
0 - 2
FC Savoia 1908
FCS
41%
28%
31%
251 372 -121 -2
24 Nov. 2019
ROC
Roccella
0 - 0
Palmese
PAL
46%
27%
27%
251 224 -27 0

Matches

Acireale
Acireale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2019
FCS
FC Savoia 1908
4 - 2
Acireale
ACI
46%
27%
26%
308 377 69 -2
15 Dec. 2019
ACI
Acireale
2 - 3
SSC Giugliano
SSC
47%
27%
26%
310 288 22 -2
08 Dec. 2019
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 3
Acireale
ACI
51%
26%
23%
307 458 151 +2
01 Dec. 2019
ACI
Acireale
2 - 0
ASD Corigliano
ACC
47%
27%
26%
305 270 35 +2
24 Nov. 2019
HYR
Nola 1925
1 - 1
Acireale
ACI
41%
28%
31%
305 168 -137 0