Palmeiras vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
SCI
0 - 0
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAL
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 0
MIX
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
27%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
AME
0 - 0
VIT
32%
30%
38%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 1
PPE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
0 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
SCI
2 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |