Palmeiras vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
90%
7%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 3
PAL
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
MIR
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
JUN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |