Palmeiras vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
OES
1 - 3
PAL
19%
24%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
ITU
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |