Palmeiras vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 2
XVD
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 4
BRA
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 1
COR
15%
26%
60%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |