Palmeiras vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 2
SCI
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 2
FLU
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLU
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
ATM
44%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |