Palmeiras vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 1
TAC
85%
12%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
PAL
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
EME
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 1
FOR
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
CEI
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |