Palmeiras vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
7%
22%
71%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
PPE
86%
11%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
PAL
8%
23%
69%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEA
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
44%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
RIO
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |