Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
PAL
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 3
HUA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 1
EVE
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CSD
1 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
COL
4 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |