Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Segunda Fase. Final

Global 4-2

Palestino vs Portuguesa FC analysis

Palestino Portuguesa FC
76 ELO 67
21.7% Tilt 1.3%
641º General ELO ranking 1211º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.7%
Palestino
17.2%
Draw
12.1%
Portuguesa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
Palestino
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
Portuguesa FC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palestino
+14%
+1%
Portuguesa FC

ELO progression

Palestino
Portuguesa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palestino
Palestino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
PAL
Palestino
5 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
69%
19%
12%
75 67 8 0
20 Feb. 2024
POR
Portuguesa FC
1 - 2
Palestino
PAL
26%
25%
49%
74 68 6 +1
09 Dec. 2023
OHI
O'Higgins
0 - 1
Palestino
PAL
35%
27%
38%
74 69 5 0
02 Dec. 2023
PAL
Palestino
4 - 0
Curicó Unido
CUR
71%
18%
11%
73 63 10 +1
23 Nov. 2023
PAL
Palestino
0 - 2
Everton
EVE
52%
24%
24%
74 74 0 -1

Matches

Portuguesa FC
Portuguesa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2024
POR
Portuguesa FC
1 - 1
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
33%
30%
37%
67 72 5 0
20 Feb. 2024
POR
Portuguesa FC
1 - 2
Palestino
PAL
26%
25%
49%
68 74 6 -1
17 Feb. 2024
CFC
Caracas
0 - 1
Portuguesa FC
POR
57%
25%
18%
67 72 5 +1
09 Feb. 2024
POR
Portuguesa FC
0 - 1
Puerto Cabello
APC
29%
28%
43%
67 72 5 0
03 Feb. 2024
DRZ
Rayo Zuliano
3 - 1
Portuguesa FC
POR
35%
30%
35%
68 58 10 -1
X