Palestino vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
NOB
3 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
NOB
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
ATL
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIB
38%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 6
LIB
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NOB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |