Serie A . Jor. 23

Palermo FC vs Parma analysis

Palermo FC Parma
83 ELO 78
11.8% Tilt -8.2%
587º General ELO ranking 235º
27º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Palermo FC
21.5%
Draw
19.6%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Palermo FC
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
Parma
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palermo FC
-1%
+2%
Parma

ELO progression

Palermo FC
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2010
BAR
SSC Bari
4 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
36%
28%
36%
83 77 6 0
24 Jan. 2010
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
43%
26%
31%
83 87 4 0
17 Jan. 2010
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
44%
27%
29%
83 81 2 0
14 Jan. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
48%
27%
25%
83 82 1 0
10 Jan. 2010
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
65%
20%
15%
83 77 6 0

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2010
CAT
Catania
3 - 0
Parma
PAR
37%
27%
36%
79 76 3 0
17 Jan. 2010
PAR
Parma
0 - 0
Udinese
UDI
39%
27%
34%
79 82 3 0
10 Jan. 2010
LIV
Livorno
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
36%
27%
37%
79 76 3 0
06 Jan. 2010
PAR
Parma
1 - 2
Juventus
JUV
25%
26%
49%
79 88 9 0
20 Dec. 2009
ROM
Roma
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
72%
17%
11%
79 88 9 0
X