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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 13

Palermo FC vs ACR Messina analysis

Palermo FC ACR Messina
34 ELO 29
14% Tilt -1%
373º General ELO ranking 2418º
21º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
52.7%
Palermo FC
24.8%
Draw
22.4%
ACR Messina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
Palermo FC
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.4%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palermo FC
+65%
-12%
ACR Messina

Points and table prediction

Palermo FC
Their league position
ACR Messina
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
36
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palermo FC
63
78
96%
FC Savoia 1908
56
67
54%
SSC Giugliano
47
59
19%
FC Messina
46
60
17%
Troina
46
58
17%
Acireale
43
56
19%
Licata
41
52
17%
ACR Messina
36
46
15%
Nola 1925
36
44
11º
14%
Biancavilla
10º
35
45
10º
14%
Cittanovese
11º
33
43
12º
12%
Castrovillari
12º
32
45
13%
Marina di Ragusa
13º
28
39
13º
16%
Roccella
14º
25
32
17º
17%
ASD Corigliano
15º
25
33
16º
19%
Marsala
16º
24
35
14º
16%
San Tommaso
17º
21
34
15º
16%
Palmese
18º
12
21
18º
92%
Expected probabilities
Palermo FC
ACR Messina
Champion
96% 0%
Promotion playoffs
4% 6%
Mid-table
0% 82%
Relegation playoffs
0% 11%
Relegation
0% 1%

ELO progression

ACR Messina
MES
Palermo FC
PAL
SSC Giugliano
SSC
Nola 1925
HYR
Troina
ASD
Palmese
PAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2019
PAL
Palmese
0 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
40%
28%
32%
455 251 -204 0
10 Nov. 2019
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 1
FC Savoia 1908
FCS
47%
27%
26%
457 367 90 -2
03 Nov. 2019
PAL
Palermo FC
6 - 0
ASD Corigliano
ACC
53%
25%
22%
454 278 176 +3
27 Oct. 2019
HYR
Nola 1925
0 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
39%
27%
34%
453 173 -280 +1
20 Oct. 2019
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 1
Licata
LIC
47%
27%
26%
452 444 8 +1

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO MES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2019
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 0
Biancavilla
BIA
46%
27%
27%
366 300 66 +2
10 Nov. 2019
ACC
ASD Corigliano
1 - 4
ACR Messina
MES
42%
28%
31%
363 275 -88 +2
03 Nov. 2019
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 3
FC Messina
CIT
47%
27%
26%
366 275 91 -3
27 Oct. 2019
LIC
Licata
0 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
47%
27%
26%
366 442 76 0
20 Oct. 2019
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Roccella
ROC
47%
27%
26%
365 226 139 +1