Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAI
0 - 1
TUL
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 0
PAI
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 2
LEV
41%
22%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
KUR
2 - 2
PAI
11%
19%
70%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 0
TJK
80%
13%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 7
KAL
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
TJK
7 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
PAI
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
KUR
2 - 1
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |