Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
PAI
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 3
PAI
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 4
LEV
12%
18%
70%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
TJK
46%
21%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 5
TRA
48%
23%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRA
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
TUL
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TAM
5 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 80 | 45 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 0
PAR
91%
8%
2%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |