Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
6 - 0
PAI
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
IFK
2 - 1
PAI
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 5
TPS
32%
23%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
KAL
6 - 1
PAI
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAM
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
KAL
7 - 0
PAR
91%
8%
2%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 2
PAR
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |