Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SIK
1 - 3
PAI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 2
PAI
83%
13%
5%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAI
0 - 4
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 1
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAI
4 - 2
TUL
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 4
TIN
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 1
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
90%
8%
2%
|
27 | 75 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 7
SIK
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KAL
6 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 77 | 49 | 0 |