Paide III vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.7%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.6%
1.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
KUR
89%
7%
3%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
KOS
1 - 9
PAI
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
VJK
0 - 3
PAI
6%
14%
80%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAI
4 - 0
PIR
90%
7%
3%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 2
PAI
6%
14%
80%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
TUL
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
KUR
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
KOS
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
VJK
5 - 1
PAR
42%
21%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
PIR
39%
21%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |