Paide III vs Kohtla-Järve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
FLO
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJL
5 - 0
PAI
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
RAP
91%
6%
2%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 1
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HLA
0 - 2
PAI
34%
22%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |