Paide III vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VJK
4 - 0
PAI
46%
23%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
PAI
6%
11%
83%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SSP
0 - 3
PAI
9%
12%
79%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAK
0 - 9
PAI
5%
9%
86%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PAI
3 - 4
TIN
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
FLO
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 3
SCR
61%
18%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
TAU
4 - 0
FLO
13%
15%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -3 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SJL
1 - 3
FLO
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 1
SSP
75%
13%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |