Combined Counties Football League Southern Combination League Jor. 10

Pagham vs Midhurst & Easebourne analysis

Pagham Midhurst & Easebourne
17 ELO 18
-8.5% Tilt 4.2%
12806º General ELO ranking 11508º
791º Country ELO ranking 704º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Pagham
22%
Draw
41.7%
Midhurst & Easebourne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Pagham
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
41.7%
Win probability
Midhurst & Easebourne
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pagham
+9%
-24%
Midhurst & Easebourne

ELO progression

Pagham
Midhurst & Easebourne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pagham
Pagham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
SHO
Shoreham FC
2 - 4
Pagham
PAG
48%
21%
31%
16 16 0 0
23 Mar. 2024
PAG
Pagham
0 - 0
Newhaven
NEW
7%
13%
79%
15 34 19 +1
19 Mar. 2024
HAY
Haywards Heath Town
2 - 0
Pagham
PAG
76%
15%
9%
15 25 10 0
16 Mar. 2024
PAG
Pagham
0 - 0
Loxwood
LOX
65%
19%
16%
15 11 4 0
09 Mar. 2024
PAG
Pagham
1 - 1
Lingfield FC
LIN
32%
23%
45%
15 18 3 0

Matches

Midhurst & Easebourne
Midhurst & Easebourne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
MEF
Midhurst & Easebourne
0 - 5
Steyning Town
STC
22%
20%
58%
19 32 13 0
23 Mar. 2024
PEA
Peacehaven & Telscombe
2 - 0
Midhurst & Easebourne
MEF
47%
21%
32%
20 22 2 -1
19 Mar. 2024
MEF
Midhurst & Easebourne
0 - 3
Hassocks
HAS
35%
22%
43%
21 28 7 -1
16 Mar. 2024
MEF
Midhurst & Easebourne
3 - 2
Varndeanians
VAR
80%
12%
8%
20 10 10 +1
09 Mar. 2024
CRA
Crawley Down Gatwick
4 - 1
Midhurst & Easebourne
MEF
49%
20%
31%
21 21 0 -1
X