Paganese vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAG
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 2
TER
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 3
PAG
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
FRA
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
USV
5 - 2
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 3
FCC
51%
25%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
2 - 2
TUR
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
USF
1 - 2
AVE
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 0
JUS
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |