Paganese vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 1
USV
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCC
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TER
3 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 2
PAL
14%
25%
61%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
TUR
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 2
BIS
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
TUR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |