Serie D Grupo G. Jor. 15

Paganese vs Lupa Roma analysis

Paganese Lupa Roma
40 ELO 33
-3.5% Tilt -8.8%
4686º General ELO ranking 23161º
126º Country ELO ranking 652º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Paganese
21.1%
Draw
15.7%
Lupa Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
Paganese
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
Lupa Roma
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paganese
-20%
+1%
Lupa Roma

Points and table prediction

Paganese
Their league position
Lupa Roma
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
47
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Paganese
68
71
77%
Sorrento
68
68
77%
Casertana
56
56
100%
Arzachena
54
55
100%
Palmese
50
50
21.5%
Lupa Roma
47
48
0%
Cassino
47
48
47%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
43
44
60.5%
Real Monterotondo Scalo
42
43
34.5%
Portici
10º
40
41
10º
32.5%
Vis Artena
11º
40
41
11º
25.5%
Angri
12º
40
40
12º
56.5%
Ilvamaddalena
14º
38
39
13º
36%
Tivoli
13º
38
38
14º
36%
Atletico Uri
15º
36
37
15º
29%
Pomezia
16º
35
36
16º
41%
Aprilia
17º
33
34
17º
49.5%
Nola 1925
18º
32
33
18º
61.5%
Expected probabilities
Paganese
Lupa Roma
Promotion
77% 0%
Promotion play-offs
23% 47%
Mid-table
0% 53%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Paganese
Lupa Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
RMS
Real Monterotondo Scalo
0 - 1
Paganese
PAG
26%
22%
52%
39 29 10 0
26 Nov. 2022
PAG
Paganese
2 - 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
CSO
64%
18%
17%
39 33 6 0
20 Nov. 2022
SSC
Cassino
0 - 1
Paganese
PAG
32%
25%
44%
38 34 4 +1
13 Nov. 2022
HYR
Nola 1925
2 - 2
Paganese
PAG
25%
24%
51%
39 30 9 -1
06 Nov. 2022
PAG
Paganese
1 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
50%
25%
25%
39 38 1 0

Matches

Lupa Roma
Lupa Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
LRO
Lupa Roma
3 - 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
CSO
43%
23%
35%
32 33 1 0
27 Nov. 2022
ASI
Ilvamaddalena
0 - 0
Lupa Roma
LRO
42%
22%
36%
32 30 2 0
20 Nov. 2022
LRO
Lupa Roma
3 - 0
Nola 1925
HYR
45%
23%
31%
31 30 1 +1
13 Nov. 2022
PAL
Palmese
2 - 3
Lupa Roma
LRO
38%
24%
37%
30 27 3 +1
09 Nov. 2022
LRO
Lupa Roma
1 - 2
SS Arezzo
ARZ
17%
22%
61%
31 44 13 -1
X