Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAG
38%
29%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
EBO
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
PAG
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
3 - 4
GAV
55%
24%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
5 - 0
ACI
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USV
0 - 2
FCC
18%
26%
56%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |