Paganese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 1
USV
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCC
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 1
BAR
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAT
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
JUS
1 - 1
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |