Paganese vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAT
6 - 0
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIR
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
3 - 0
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
24%
28%
49%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
REG
2 - 1
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FON
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |