2. Bundesliga . Jor. 20

Paderborn vs Werder Bremen analysis

Paderborn Werder Bremen
71 ELO 77
20.9% Tilt 16%
410º General ELO ranking 221º
24º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
33.4%
Paderborn
23.2%
Draw
43.4%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.4%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
-7%
+6%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

Paderborn
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2022
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
37%
26%
37%
71 70 1 0
08 Jan. 2022
VER
Verl
0 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
15%
19%
66%
71 56 15 0
18 Dec. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
50%
24%
26%
72 70 2 -1
11 Dec. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
40%
23%
37%
72 74 2 0
04 Dec. 2021
SVS
Sandhausen
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
18%
23%
59%
72 59 13 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2022
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
44%
25%
31%
76 70 6 0
08 Jan. 2022
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
21%
21%
58%
76 67 9 0
05 Jan. 2022
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
Viktoria Berlin
VIK
76%
16%
8%
76 54 22 0
19 Dec. 2021
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 4
Werder Bremen
BRE
23%
24%
53%
76 68 8 0
10 Dec. 2021
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 3
Werder Bremen
BRE
27%
24%
49%
75 67 8 +1
X