Paderborn vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 4
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SGD
2 - 1
PAD
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 0
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
PAD
3 - 1
MON
20%
22%
59%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
STP
3 - 2
HSV
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 3
STP
25%
23%
53%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 0
STP
35%
25%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STP
3 - 0
HOL
24%
24%
51%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
STP
2 - 2
HER
20%
22%
57%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |