Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
WUR
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 3
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DAR
0 - 2
HOL
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
KSC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 2
BYM
1%
6%
92%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
OSN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |