Paderborn 07 II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
13º
52
2º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 2
PAD
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 0
PAD
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
S04
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
WUP
2 - 1
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
3 - 0
WIE
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 0
WEG
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
DIE
43%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 0
DIE
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |