Paços de Ferreira vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
BMA
3 - 1
PAÇ
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 4
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
VST
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UDL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |