Paços de Ferreira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FCP
5 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
PAÇ
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIT
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
FCP
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GFC
2 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
13%
22%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |