Paços de Ferreira vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
PAÇ
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
PAÇ
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
UDL
3 - 0
PAÇ
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 3
VST
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAV
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |