Paços de Ferreira vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TOT
5%
14%
81%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
3 - 0
PAÇ
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
FAM
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
LAR
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
29%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 0
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |