Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TIJ
2 - 0
PAC
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PAC
3 - 1
UAT
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 2
PAC
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 0
PAC
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |