Liga MX Apertura Round 3

Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM analysis

Pachuca Pumas UNAM
83 ELO 79
8.3% Tilt 4.2%
358º General ELO ranking 371º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Pachuca
21.6%
Draw
17.7%
Pumas UNAM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
Pachuca
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.8%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca
-2%
-5%
Pumas UNAM

Points and table prediction

Pachuca
Their league position
Pumas UNAM
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
17º
11º
28
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas FC
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pachuca
Pumas UNAM
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pachuca
Pumas UNAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2023
LEO
León
4 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
47%
24%
29%
83 83 0 0
01 Jul. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
24%
24%
52%
83 74 9 0
25 Jun. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 2
Tigres UANL
TIG
52%
24%
24%
84 84 0 -1
22 Jun. 2023
SAC
San Antonio Corinthians FC
0 - 6
Pachuca
PAC
6%
14%
80%
84 39 45 0
07 May. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
4 - 4
Santos Laguna
SAN
53%
23%
24%
84 81 3 0

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
58%
23%
19%
79 74 5 0
01 Jul. 2023
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 3
Pumas UNAM
PUM
35%
28%
38%
79 76 3 0
30 Apr. 2023
MON
Monterrey
4 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
55%
25%
21%
79 83 4 0
23 Apr. 2023
AME
América
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
62%
21%
16%
79 83 4 0
16 Apr. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
3 - 1
Toluca
TOL
33%
26%
41%
78 82 4 +1