PAC Buzet vs Luingnois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
5º
29
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAC Buzet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
PAC
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 3
MOL
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
SOI
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RMO
1 - 0
PAC
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luingnois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
5 - 1
COU
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
LUI
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 3
RFC
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
LUI
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 4
BEL
7%
12%
81%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |