Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 3
OXF
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
OXF
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 1
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
OXF
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 2
STO
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
NOT
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 1
MKD
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MKD
4 - 1
CHE
49%
22%
30%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 1
DON
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |