Oxford United vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
OXF
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OXF
0 - 0
WYC
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 1
OXF
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
OXF
24%
23%
54%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 4
MKD
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
GIL
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STF
2 - 1
GIL
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |