Oxford United vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
STA
1 - 4
OXF
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
OXF
0 - 2
SUN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
WAT
24%
25%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 0
OXF
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 1
CHE
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRO
2 - 0
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DON
4 - 1
BRO
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 2
IPS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRO
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
2 - 2
WAL
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |