Oxford City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 4
OXF
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 0
WEL
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 1
HAM
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 1
OXF
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
OXF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 2
CHM
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAM
4 - 2
CHM
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHM
1 - 0
ENF
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHM
0 - 2
DUL
47%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHM
5 - 1
LOA
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |