Ovarense vs Oriental Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
AVA
7 - 1
OVA
85%
11%
5%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
OVA
0 - 4
RDA
8%
16%
77%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BAI
3 - 1
OVA
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESM
4 - 1
OVA
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 4
CAL
38%
23%
38%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
3 - 0
FAY
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
BEL
5%
23%
72%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |